RBI RELEASES THE FINANCIAL STABILITY REPORT (SR) JULY 2020
- FSR is a bi-annual report that reflects risks to financial stability and the resilience of the financial system.
- The report gives various scenarios for the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on different indicators (refer to infographics).
- GDP growth: shows contraction in all scenarios.
- Combined gross fiscal deficit-to GDP ratio (including Centre and States) is expected to exceed 1096 in all scenarios.
- The current account balance to GDP ratio is expected to fall, indicating a higher fall in exports as compared to imports.
- Other key findings
- Gross Non-Performing Assets (GNPA) ratio of all Scheduled Commercial Banks may increase from 8.5% in March 2020 to 12.5% by March 2021 under the baseline scenario.
- NBFCs: Declining share of market funding for NBFCs is a concern as it has the potential to accentuate liquidity risk for NBFCs as well as for the financial system.
- Risks to global economic prospects: overleveraged non-financial sector, simmering global geopolitical tensions, and economic losses on account of the pandemic.
Source: RBI
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