Wednesday, 17 June 2020

The rise in Net Financial Assets

Key Facts:-

  • According to the Reserve Bank of India's recent Quarterly Estimates of Households’ Financial Assets and Liabilities, net financial assets of Indian households rose to 7.7% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the Financial Year (FY) 2019-20.

Key Points

  • Net Financial Assets:
    • Net Financial Assets are the difference between Gross Financial Assets (GFA) (deposits and investments) and Financial Liabilities (borrowings).
      • The net financial assets jumped from Rs. 13.73 lakh crore in FY 2018-19 (7.2 % of GDP) to Rs. 15.62 lakh crore (7.7% of the GDP) in FY 2019-20.
      • The GFA rose marginally from Rs. 21.23 lakh crore in FY 2018-19 to Rs. 21.63 lakh crore in FY 2019-20.
      • The financial liabilities witnessed a sharp decline from Rs. 7.5 lakh crore to Rs. 6.01 lakh crore in the same period, thereby contributing to the rise in net financial assets.
    • In the first quarter of FY 2020-21, RBI also expects a spike in net financial assets of households on account of a sharp drop in lockdown induced consumption.
      • Studies show households tend to save more during a slowdown and income uncertainty.
  • The decline in Borrowing:
    • The rise in net financial assets was accompanied by a decline in bank borrowings by households.
    • The decline in bank borrowing by households is a reflection of the slowdown in the economy and risk aversion of banks.
      • The economic slowdown may be because income levels of individuals are either going down or not increasing.
  • Savings:
    • In value terms, GFA has increased marginally from Rs. 21.23 lakh crore in FY 2018-19 to Rs 21.63 lakh crore FY 2019-20.
    • The overall savings have not grown in proportion. However, the household savings in bank deposits as a percent of GDP declined to 3.4% in FY 2019-20 compared to FY 2018-19 where it stood at 3.8%.
      • The decline in household savings is because banks reduced their interest rates following a sharp cut in repo rate by the RBI over the last 18-months.
        • A repo rate is a rate at which RBI lends to commercial banks.
        • Between January 2019 and March 2020, RBI cut the repo rate by 210 basis points from 6.5% to 4.4%. In May 2020 RBI reduced it further to 4%.
      • Small saving instruments that continued to offer higher rates than bank deposits witnessed a higher deployment of household savings as their share as a percent of GDP increased from 1.1% to 1.3% in the same period.
    • Savings into life insurance funds and mutual funds as a percent of GDP also declined from 2.2% in FY 2018-19 to 1.9% in FY 2019-20.
  • Issues Involved:
    • There is a possibility that households may use their savings due to lags in the pickup of economic activity post-Covid-19 lockdown.
      • This may cause the financial surplus (savings) of households to decrease in the coming days.
      • This may decrease the investment, which may further add to the economic slowdown.

Way Forward

  • The government must remove the issues that emerged post Covid-19 lockdown, which will lead to an increase in economic activity.
  • The government can also consider providing cash in hand to the public to increase the demand, which will lead to an increase in production.
Source: Indian Express

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